Ever wonder what the United States may be like in 2030? According to the “Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds” report, the United States is not holding all the cards. The National Intelligence Council shared their 160 page report and painted an ugly picture for our climate, national security, and food and water sources to name a few issues.
The report predicts that the United States will continue to be the “first among equals, among the other great powers.” However, with the swift rise of other countries, the Pax-Americana era, which is defined as the era of American ascendancy in international politics that began in 1945, is coming to an end. The United States will also be surpassed by Asia in terms of global power. Asia will have a larger population and spend more on military and technological investments.
Wondering about the rest of the world? In 2030 the world population will reach somewhere near 8.3 billion people, which could potentially cause food and water to run scarce in places such as Africa and the Middle East. Climate change will not benefit a food shortage, only make it worse. Climate change analyst suggest that the severity of weather patterns will increase, with wet regions becoming wetter and dry regions becoming more so.
Regarding cyber systems the report stated, “With more widespread access to lethal and disruptive technologies, individuals who are experts in such niche areas as cyber systems might sell their services to the highest bidder, including terrorists who would focus less on causing mass casualties and more on creating widespread economic and financial disruptions.”
The council urges that it is not trying to predict the future, rather outline possible futures and their consequences. The ultimate goal is provide lawmakers with an idea of what the future holds in order to help them steer the right economic courses.